2016 US Presidential Election - If Less Than 80,000 Popular Votes Changed from Trump to Clinton
2016 US Presidential Election - If Less Than 80,000 Popular Votes Changed from Trump to Clinton

It is truly remarkable that six hundredths of one percent of the votes cast in 2016 changes the history of the US forever.

According to the certified 2016 US Presidential Election Results, Trump won Pennsylvania by less than 45,000 electoral votes (EVs). He won Michigan by less than 11,000 EVs and he won Wisconsin by less than 23,000 EVs. If Trump had of lost these three key states, Clinton would have won the 2016 Presidential Election 278 to 260 EVs. This means that less than 80,000 popular votes in three key swing states changes the course of US history; which is less than 0.06% of all votes cast in 2016.

If you do the full analysis of the 2016 election, which includes the voter turnout numbers and the votes for third party candidates (who did not have a chance to win), it is truly amazing how the future of the USA was changed forever by such a tiny percentage of registered voters. It is remarkable how low voter turnout and third party candidates can be such a huge factor in critically important US election results.

I’m not a fan of posts about politics; and not a fan of discussing politics in general, but the razor thin margin of victory for Trump in three key swing states, giving Trump his electoral college victory, is truly remarkable.


Reference:

[1] David Wasserman, The certified 2016 presidential election results for all 50 states and Washington D.C. – The Cook Political Report, updated 3 January 2017.